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Peter Dungan

Peter Dungan

Associate Professor Emeritus of Economic Analysis and Policy


B.A. York University (Glendon College) 1972, Ph.D. Princeton University 1980.


Peter Dungan is an Associate Professor Emeritus of Economic Analysis and Policy, with cross-appointments at the Department of Economics and the Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy. He is also the Director of Rotman’s Policy and Economic Analysis Program. His research concentration is on computer simulation models of the Canadian and Ontario economies. They also form the backbone of an ongoing program developing both short-term and long-term economic forecasts for Canada and Ontario..

Selected Publications - Papers

  • An Au-thentic Opportunity: The Economic Impacts of a New Gold Mine in Ontario

    Dungan and Murphy

    Ontario Mining Association


  • Macroeconomic Impacts of Canadian Immigration: An Empirical Analysis Using the FOCUS Model

    Dungan, Fang and Gunderson

    British Journal of Industrial Relations



    Pages: 274-195

  • Risks of a Prolonged Low-Interest-Rate Environment for the Pensions Sector

    Ambachtsheer, Dungan, Murphy, Pesando and Sorochenko

    Global Risk Institute


  • Growth-Oriented Sales Tax Reform for Ontario: Replacing the Retail Sales Tax with a 7.5 Percent Made-in-Ontario VAT

    with J. Mintz, F. Poschmann and T. Wilson

    C.D. Howe Commentary No. 273


  • Impacts of a 'Representative Mine' on the Ontario Economy

    Peter Dungan and Steve Murphy

    Ontario Mining Association


    Pages: pp. 15

  • Forecasting Processes and Performance of the Department of Finance

    Peter Dungan and Steve Murphy

    Dept. of Finance


    Pages: pp. 150

Selected Publications - Books and Chapters

  • Fiscal Policy in Danada 1990-2014 - Forthcoming

    Dungan, Murphy and Wilson

    Canadian Tax Foundation


  • The Financial Crisis of 2008 and the ‘Real’ Economy: Damage but Not Disaster

    The Finance Crisis and Rescue, Rotman School of Management and University of Toronto Press


    Pages: pp. 81-94

  • The 2006 Budget: A Quantitative Appraisal

    The 2006 Federal Budget: Conference Volume published by John Deutsch Institute, Queen's University.


    Pages: pp. 45-54

  • The Impact of Productivity Growth on Government Fiscal Balances

    Review of Economic Performance and Social Progress - 2002; Institute for Research in Public Policy and Centre for the Study of Living Standards


    Pages: pp. 95-116

Research and Teaching Interests

Research is centered on computer simulation models of the Canadian economy to develop longer-term forecasts and policy analyses. Teaches courses on Macroeconomics on Forecasting Models and Econometric Methods.